Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.043842 0.047796 0.051812 0.056187 0.060813 0.065551 0.070765
2025-01-05 0.037754 0.043550 0.049658 0.056548 0.064076 0.072027 0.081032
2025-01-12 0.032389 0.039395 0.047035 0.055924 0.065919 0.076753 0.089322
2025-01-19 0.028951 0.036945 0.045935 0.056680 0.069061 0.082772 0.098992
2025-01-26 0.025418 0.034009 0.043962 0.056166 0.070549 0.086791 0.106346
2025-02-02 0.022873 0.031978 0.042816 0.056413 0.072759 0.091531 0.114469
2025-02-09 0.021130 0.030744 0.042471 0.057482 0.075838 0.097224 0.123685
2025-02-16 0.020239 0.030479 0.043234 0.059836 0.080428 0.104702 0.135040
2025-02-23 0.017530 0.027635 0.040570 0.057777 0.079503 0.105492 0.138382
2025-03-02 0.015721 0.025839 0.039111 0.057107 0.080187 0.108144 0.143899
2025-03-09 0.014220 0.024339 0.037933 0.056701 0.081121 0.111045 0.149686
2025-03-16 0.013735 0.024234 0.038586 0.058662 0.085057 0.117669 0.160068
2025-03-23 0.012887 0.023568 0.038471 0.059635 0.087793 0.122908 0.168911
2025-03-30 0.012043 0.022845 0.038231 0.060412 0.090271 0.127843 0.177431
2025-04-06 0.010899 0.021573 0.037142 0.059975 0.091112 0.130687 0.183346
2025-04-13 0.010251 0.021026 0.037054 0.060886 0.093729 0.135808 0.192158
2025-04-20 0.009277 0.019874 0.036013 0.060409 0.094443 0.138454 0.197830
2025-04-27 0.008592 0.019140 0.035546 0.060704 0.096176 0.142414 0.205188
2025-05-04 0.008173 0.018824 0.035683 0.061847 0.099060 0.147883 0.214508
2025-05-11 0.008101 0.019104 0.036738 0.064334 0.103822 0.155861 0.227123
2025-05-18 0.006992 0.017438 0.034675 0.062172 0.102066 0.155173 0.228476
2025-05-25 0.006293 0.016455 0.033634 0.061471 0.102308 0.157112 0.233234
2025-06-01 0.005708 0.015632 0.032804 0.061045 0.102908 0.159512 0.238589